Rosentau, A., Harff, J., Oja, T., Meyer, M.
Postglacial rebound and relative sea level changes in the
Baltic Sea since the Litorina transgression
Based on geostatistical modelling the authors compared
relative sea level records for the Litorina and post-Litorina Sea with tide
gauge and GPS derived crustal velocity measurements in Fennoscandia and in the
Baltic region. Results show good fit between the geological record and GPS
derived crustal velocity measurements indicating that the postglacial rebound
(PGR) centre on the northwest coast of the Bothnian Sea and the isostatic
zero-line in the southern Baltic remained stable during the last 8000 14C yrs BP
(8900 cal yrs BP). An average Baltic Sea level rise of 1.4±0.4 mm/y for the
20th century was estimated, which is found to be at about one fifth compared to
the mid-Holocene sea level rise. However, considering the recent estimates of
eustatic sea level rise for the 21st century the slowly uplifting coastal areas
in southern Sweden, SE Finland, Estonia, Latvia and NW Russia, which have
experienced a long term relative sea level fall, will probably also be affected
by future sea level rise reminiscent of the mid-Holocene one.